Pipeline Control Panel

Visual funnel and lane comparison first. Deep diagnostics are available below on demand.

⚠️
Pipeline Status: FAMILY_DOMINATED
rsi_mean_reversion is 46.0% of recent candidates (limit: 40%)

Process Status

🟒
clawpone-generator
Continuous generation & fast filter
🟒
clawpone-validator
Continuous 6-check validation + correlation
0
Pending in queue
171
Promoted (all time)
705
Validated last 24h
β€”
Est. queue clearance

Pipeline Funnel

All Time
Post-Optimiser
Each bar = % of candidates shown. Green = passed. Red = rejected. Purple = correlated. Blue = optimising. Yellow/orange = active.
1. GENERATED β€” ALL TIME VIEW21,390 (100.0%)
100.0%
All-time generated. 15 currently pending fast filter.
2. FAST FILTER β€” PASSED1,579 (7.4%)
7.4%
Passed cheap pre-screen (7.4% pass rate)
Β Β Β FAST FILTER β€” FAILED19,737 (92.3%)
92.3%
Killed early β€” too few trades or negative expectancy
3. OPTIMISATION β€” DONE1,527 (7.1%)
7.1%
Param search improved skeleton (96.7% pass rate)
Β Β Β SUPERSEDED BY CHILD59 (0.3%)
0.3%
Parent replaced by improved child
Β Β Β OPTIMISATION β€” FAILED52 (0.2%)
0.2%
No viable param combination found
Β Β Β OPTIMISING0 (0.0%)
0.0%
Currently running param search
4. VALIDATION β€” PASSED171 (0.8%)
0.8%
Passed 4/5 checks on OOS data (12.9% pass rate)
Β Β Β VALIDATION β€” FAILED1,156 (5.4%)
5.4%
Failed validation checks
Β Β Β CORRELATED β€” REJECTED193 (0.9%)
0.9%
Passed validation but too correlated with existing strategy
5. BLACK BOOK90 (0.4%)
0.4%
BB-linked pre-paper strategies (typically DRAFT/BACKTESTED)
6. PAPER TRADING81 (0.4%)
0.4%
Active paper trading β€” 14 days / 100 trades minimum
7. LIVE SMALL0 (0.0%)
0.0%
Real money β€” 1-2% allocation
8. LIVE FULL0 (0.0%)
0.0%
Full allocation β€” 30+ days consistent

Generation Lanes

Lane A = random combinatorial; Lane B = parameter mutations of VALIDATION_PASSED seeds  Β·  Lane B 7-day FF pass: 1002 / 10009 (10.0%)

LaneDescription GeneratedFF Passed FF RateValidated Val Rate
Lane A Random combinations from policy.yaml 11,308 633 5.6% 39 6%
Lane B Β±20% param mutations of VALIDATION_PASSED seeds 10,009 1002 10.0% 132 13%
Research queue by source
SourceStatusCount
lane_bCORRELATED91
lane_bFAILED487
lane_bPROMOTED32
optimiserCORRELATED102
optimiserFAILED669
optimiserPROMOTED139

Lane Survival Metrics

Conversion rates + short-window activity by lane (Generated/Advanced over 24h and 7d).
Lane Generated FF Passed Validated+ Paper+ Live 24h G/A 7d G/A Last Activity
Lane A11308633 (5.6%)39 (6.2%)13 (33.3%)0 (0.0%)3981/411308/392026-04-17T15:51
Lane B100091002 (10.0%)132 (13.2%)68 (51.5%)0 (0.0%)6713/410009/1322026-04-17T15:51
lane_c733 (4.1%)0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)0 (0.0%)0/073/02026-04-16T22:58

Stage-to-Stage Sharpe Degradation

ΔSharpe distributions across FF→OPT, OPT→VAL, and FF→VAL. Green improves, red degrades.
Fast Filter β†’ Optimisation
-5.954
median Ξ”Sharpe Β· mean -5.870 Β· n=365
improved 4.4% Β· flat 1.1% Β· degraded 94.5%
Optimisation β†’ Validation
+6.239
median Ξ”Sharpe Β· mean +6.460 Β· n=1517
improved 97.7% Β· flat 0.5% Β· degraded 1.8%
Fast Filter β†’ Validation
+0.000
median Ξ”Sharpe Β· mean -0.039 Β· n=1519
improved 0.0% Β· flat 99.5% Β· degraded 0.5%
Largest FF→Validation degradations (recent sample)
Candidate Lane FF Val Ξ”
92b9f4dab7bbcombinatorial14.290.00-14.29
840cae5d007dcombinatorial13.170.00-13.17
dd76ad7a1fa8combinatorial10.390.00-10.39
3f600b80d765combinatorial8.870.00-8.87
44caed42bc29combinatorial7.690.00-7.69
f32a9807203acombinatorial3.130.00-3.13
dbf4f4856bc2combinatorial1.210.00-1.21
459397a2f029combinatorial4.054.05-0.00

Queue Health

0.1h
Avg queue age (GENERATED)
0.3h
Oldest unprocessed
24h throughput
Generated: 7193
Fast filtered: 7277
Validated: 264
Open deep diagnostics

Candidate Provenance Quality

21390
Candidates
0
Missing lane
0
Missing detail
0
Missing ref (non-A)
100.0%
Quality score
Unknown lane labels: 0. Intake now rejects candidates with empty source_lane.
Lane coverage
Lane Count
combinatorial11308
lane_b10009
lane_c73
Recent provenance issues
Candidate Stage Lane Detail Updated
No recent provenance issues
21,390
Total Generated
7,193
Generated (24h)
171
In Black Book+
0
Live Trading

Family Distribution

Last 100 real candidates. Green=boost  |  Grey=hold  |  Blue=explore  |  Red=quarantine. Dashed line = 40% cap.

Fast Filter Diagnostics

Breakdown of why candidates fail the fast filter. Total attempts: 21005
5836
5754
3618
3200
1314
15
1268
Failure Reason Count Percentage
INVALID_METRICS 5836 27.8%
TOO_FEW_TRADES 5754 27.4%
NEGATIVE_EXPECTANCY 3618 17.2%
COST_ADJUSTED_NEGATIVE_EXPECTANCY 3200 15.2%
UNKNOWN 1314 6.3%
PASSED 1268 6.0%
stale_generated_timeout 15 0.1%
Dominant failure: INVALID_METRICS

Validation Check Failure Rates

Based on 1519 validated candidates. Red = primary bottleneck.
Bootstrap MC461/1519 failed (30%)
Fee Stress52/1519 failed (3%)
Regime255/1517 failed (17%)
Quality Gate (Sortino/Calmar)48/1519 failed (3%)
Cross-Symbol Robustness506/817 failed (62%)
Specialist Rules478/817 failed (59%)

Sharpe Distribution β€” FF Survivors

21332 candidates with Sharpe data. Mean: -869812864868237.00
<0
4522 (21%)
0–0.6
5666 (27%)
0.6–1.0
728 (3%)
1.0–2.0
1122 (5%)
>2.0
9294 (44%)
Threshold for validation: Sharpe ≥0.6

Optimisation Stage

0
In Progress
1527
Done
52
Failed
96.7%
Pass Rate

Optimisation Effectiveness

372
Optimised branches
+0.595
Median uplift
92.2%
Improved branches
Adv 32 Β· Fail 333 Β· Active 7
Branch outcomes
Mean uplift +0.861 Β· Strong uplift (β‰₯+0.20): 79.3% Β· Regressed: 7.8%
Top uplifts (parent→child)
Parent Child Symbol Ξ”
5ada89160d1b8c7b7870WLDUSDT 1h+9.50
3121e86afd9981eab177WLDUSDT 1h+7.27
825fef0831840cae5d00WLDUSDT 4h+6.06
4328e08a1192b9f4dab7WLDUSDT 4h+5.99
9d0520c4a9dd76ad7a1fWLDUSDT 4h+5.66
d13e82f865dbf4f4856bWLDUSDT 1h+4.42
Worst uplifts (regressions)
Parent Child Symbol Ξ”
ada520dd27f2e755d063WLDUSDT 4h-1.27
951030502b837652b562WLDUSDT 4h-0.54
3da65eeaa620b76c248bWLDUSDT 4h-0.51
7919678aeaf2516ff370ETHUSDT 4h-0.44
c83aa8e0873e78bbcb21WLDUSDT 4h-0.43
e99e351b917d16acf531WLDUSDT 4h-0.35

Time-in-Stage (active stages only)

p95 >12h shown in red. Candidates in terminal stages excluded.
Stage Count Avg p95 Max
GENERATED150.0h0.0h0.0h
OPTIMISATION_DONE744.1h48.2h51.4h
OPTIMISATION_FAILED5244.6h50.6h81.7h
VALIDATION_PASSED9065.0h80.5h81.9h
PAPER_TRADING8158.3h81.0h81.0h

Sharpe: FF vs Validation

No promoted candidates with both FF and validation Sharpe yet
No data yet β€” appears after first validation run

Queue Depth + Age by Stage

245
Active queue candidates
230
Stuck > 6h
230
Stuck > 12h
Lane A 45.7% Β· Lane B 54.3% Β· Other 0.0%
Queue lane mix
Stage Count Avg p95 Max >6h >12h Lane Split
GENERATED150.0h0.0h0.0h00A:14 / B:1
OPTIMISATION_DONE744.1h48.2h51.4h77A:7 / B:0
OPTIMISATION_FAILED5244.6h50.6h81.7h5252A:52 / B:0
VALIDATION_PASSED9065.0h80.5h81.9h9090A:26 / B:64
PAPER_TRADING8158.3h81.0h81.0h8181A:13 / B:68

Lineage Overview (Parent β†’ Child)

373
Children with parent link
8.6%
Advanced rate
15.8%
Parent supersede coverage
Parents 373 Β· Advanced 32 Β· Failed 334 Β· Active 7
Branch outcomes
Top parent branches by child count
Parent Stage Kids Adv Fail Act Last
530e4c27a0c2VALIDATION_FAILED10102026-04-17T12:04
8da26bf20576VALIDATION_FAILED10102026-04-17T10:04
7000c5168933VALIDATION_FAILED10102026-04-17T08:34
2aa1cd38a835VALIDATION_FAILED10102026-04-17T08:04
0aceaf063b96VALIDATION_FAILED10102026-04-17T01:35
9b8f8bd7a23cVALIDATION_FAILED10102026-04-16T22:55
5994dbd4e879SUPERSEDED_BY_CHILD10102026-04-16T22:54
ebb14ecb71c1VALIDATION_FAILED10102026-04-16T22:46
08e13c2e4dc8VALIDATION_FAILED10102026-04-16T22:46
4eafbb4e7407VALIDATION_FAILED10102026-04-16T22:45
Recent parent→child transitions
Parent Child Stage Symbol Sharpe
530e4c27a0c250bef894c9ccVALIDATION_FAILEDWLDUSDT 4h3.56
8da26bf205765308791bd6e3VALIDATION_FAILEDWLDUSDT 4h10.80
7000c516893336ac04aea125VALIDATION_FAILEDWLDUSDT 4h5.26
2aa1cd38a835edda46d4364fVALIDATION_FAILEDWLDUSDT 4h9.75
0aceaf063b9607524467cd1aVALIDATION_FAILEDWLDUSDT 4h6.02
9b8f8bd7a23ce40afe2d9009VALIDATION_FAILEDETHUSDT 4h3.52
5994dbd4e879e7465c640651VALIDATION_FAILEDETHUSDT 4h-2.14
ebb14ecb71c1bf69c900a55aVALIDATION_FAILEDWLDUSDT 4h9.14
08e13c2e4dc8d189fc7c13d1VALIDATION_FAILEDWLDUSDT 4h7.68
4eafbb4e74079260da0a4d55VALIDATION_FAILEDWLDUSDT 4h9.82
4d5013bebb826dd365e457ddVALIDATION_FAILEDBTCUSDT 4h4.17
f72115967aa65888c5b22e11VALIDATION_FAILEDBTCUSDT 4h6.84

Lineage Tree (Multi-Generation)

Roots: 8 Β· Nodes: 745 Β· Edges: 373 Β· Max depth seen: 2
Shows top root branches by descendant count (depth-limited; large branches truncated).
Candidate Stage Lane Symbol Sharpe Updated
a205f9ca631567VALIDATION_FAILEDlane_bWLDUSDT 1h7.892026-04-15T12:24
    β””─ c892cf734f4d74VALIDATION_FAILEDcombinatorialWLDUSDT 1h6.492026-04-16T14:09
        β””─ c65a242ccf81a3PAPER_TRADINGcombinatorialWLDUSDT 1h6.082026-04-14T06:51
9d9df07ed55e50VALIDATION_FAILEDlane_bWLDUSDT 4h8.322026-04-16T07:34
    β””─ 78d8702b1743b6VALIDATION_FAILEDcombinatorialWLDUSDT 4h8.512026-04-16T03:02
dab13ecc1fea4fVALIDATION_FAILEDlane_bWLDUSDT 4h11.282026-04-16T07:34
    β””─ 4a0ccf65995d18VALIDATION_FAILEDcombinatorialWLDUSDT 4h4.602026-04-16T16:48
2dcb3ead9c9880VALIDATION_FAILEDlane_bWLDUSDT 4h8.762026-04-16T07:32
    β””─ 06929398b70229VALIDATION_FAILEDcombinatorialWLDUSDT 4h6.662026-04-16T04:10
12065069d5dd3bVALIDATION_FAILEDlane_bWLDUSDT 4h11.482026-04-16T07:32
    β””─ af7a8bac16f25bVALIDATION_FAILEDcombinatorialWLDUSDT 4h9.662026-04-16T03:17
cd538c4bd4da4fVALIDATION_FAILEDlane_bWLDUSDT 4h8.812026-04-16T07:31
    β””─ 6981c8c08db9dcVALIDATION_FAILEDcombinatorialWLDUSDT 4h8.132026-04-16T20:45
63ce5ab4bf5e60VALIDATION_FAILEDlane_bWLDUSDT 4h9.222026-04-16T07:29
    β””─ 14cc9a7ea1692fVALIDATION_FAILEDcombinatorialWLDUSDT 4h11.102026-04-16T05:53
08e13c2e4dc8f0VALIDATION_FAILEDlane_bWLDUSDT 4h5.432026-04-16T07:28
    β””─ d189fc7c13d14aVALIDATION_FAILEDcombinatorialWLDUSDT 4h7.682026-04-16T22:46

Fast Filter Pass Rate β€” 7-day trend

Bar width = pass rate Γ— 10. Green β‰₯4%, yellow β‰₯2%, red <2%.
04-17
0/5278 (0.0%)
04-16
11/5399 (0.2%)
04-15
450/4953 (9.1%)
04-14
782/4715 (16.6%)
04-13
25/660 (3.8%)

Candidate Velocity β€” 14-day throughput

Blue bar = generated/day. 3-day avg: 5260/day
04-17
5293 gen / 0 pass
04-16
5401 gen / 11 pass
04-15
5087 gen / 450 pass
04-14
4934 gen / 782 pass
04-13
675 gen / 25 pass

Validation Results

11.3% pass rate (171/1519 runs)
Check failure rates
Bootstrap MC461/1519 failed (30%)
Fee Stress52/1519 failed (3%)
Regime255/1517 failed (17%)
Quality Gate48/1519 failed (3%)
Last 15 validation runs (most recent first)
ID Symbol Result MC DSR FEE REG SENS QUAL XSYM SPEC
7fb7b21a73dbBTCUSDT 1hFAILβœ“β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
e40afe2d9009ETHUSDT 4hFAILβœ—β€”βœ“βœ—β€”βœ“β€”β€”
e7465c640651ETHUSDT 4hFAILβœ—β€”βœ—βœ—β€”βœ—β€”β€”
2a138ee844e8WLDUSDT 4hFAILβœ—β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
55b7e4f3b97aWLDUSDT 1hFAILβœ—β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
05185b26a607WLDUSDT 1hFAILβœ“β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
bf69c900a55aWLDUSDT 4hFAILβœ“β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
d189fc7c13d1WLDUSDT 4hFAILβœ“β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
b26c502a69d8WLDUSDT 4hFAILβœ—β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
cc78fe814a32WLDUSDT 1hFAILβœ“β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
eeb23b5ae6baWLDUSDT 1hFAILβœ“β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
6e3f863c3c81WLDUSDT 4hFAILβœ—β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
6dd365e457ddBTCUSDT 4hFAILβœ—β€”βœ“βœ—β€”βœ“β€”β€”
5888c5b22e11BTCUSDT 4hFAILβœ“β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”
7843fb77d423BTCUSDT 1hFAILβœ—β€”βœ“βœ“β€”βœ“β€”β€”

Cross-Symbol Observability

1350
Runs
311
Passed
506
Failed
23.0%
Pass Rate
0.260
Avg Robustness
19/798
Generalist/Specialist
By lane
Lane Runs Pass Fail Rate Avg Rob
Lane B88022538325.6%0.258
Lane A4698612218.3%0.269
lane_c1010.0%0.000
Cross symbols
Symbol Tested Passed Rate Avg Score
XRPUSDT28800.0%0.000
BTCUSDT28622679.0%0.510
SOLUSDT28326091.9%0.537
ADAUSDT27100.0%0.000
ETHUSDT25220681.7%0.490
BNBUSDT22900.0%0.000
AVAXUSDT900.0%0.000
LINKUSDT600.0%0.000
Recent cross-symbol outcomes
Candidate Primary Scope Outcome Robustness Cross Pass Updated
7fb7b21a73dbBTCUSDT 1hSPECIALISTFAIL0.0000/22026-04-16T22:58
e40afe2d9009ETHUSDT 4hUNKNOWNSKIPβ€”0/02026-04-16T22:55
e7465c640651ETHUSDT 4hUNKNOWNSKIPβ€”0/02026-04-16T22:54
2a138ee844e8WLDUSDT 4hUNKNOWNSKIPβ€”0/02026-04-16T22:54
55b7e4f3b97aWLDUSDT 1hUNKNOWNSKIPβ€”0/02026-04-16T22:52
05185b26a607WLDUSDT 1hSPECIALISTFAIL0.0000/22026-04-16T22:49
bf69c900a55aWLDUSDT 4hSPECIALISTFAIL0.1520/22026-04-16T22:46
d189fc7c13d1WLDUSDT 4hSPECIALISTPASS0.3011/22026-04-16T22:46
b26c502a69d8WLDUSDT 4hUNKNOWNSKIPβ€”0/02026-04-16T22:45
cc78fe814a32WLDUSDT 1hSPECIALISTFAIL0.1050/22026-04-16T22:45
eeb23b5ae6baWLDUSDT 1hSPECIALISTFAIL0.2201/22026-04-16T22:41
6e3f863c3c81WLDUSDT 4hUNKNOWNSKIPβ€”0/02026-04-16T22:37

Adaptive Recommendations

⚠️ rsi_mean_reversion is 46.0% of recent candidates (threshold: 40%) β€” consider reducing max_per_family_per_batch or setting mode to 'hold'
ℹ️ Explore family 'vwap_reversion' has 24 candidates with 0 survivors β€” investigate signal quality
Read-only. Apply changes manually via research/generator/policy.yaml.

Simulation Results

No simulation run yet.
python3 research/generator/simulator.py --candidates 500 --mode realistic

Gate Thresholds

Gate Requirement Purpose
Fast Filter≥30 trades in 3-month sample + positive expectancyKills garbage before expensive testing
Validation β€” Bootstrap MCBootstrap Sharpe 5th pct > 0 (p < 0.05)Edge is statistically real
Validation β€” Deflated SharpeDSR > 0 (adjusts for trials count)Corrects multiple-testing bias
Validation β€” SensitivitySharpe drops <30% under ±20% param changeNot curve-fitted
Validation β€” Fee StressProfitable at 2x actual feesEdge survives cost pressure
Validation β€” RegimePositive expectancy in ≥3 of 4 regimesNot a one-regime wonder
Validation β€” Quality GateSortino ≥0.5 AND Calmar ≥0.2Downside-adjusted return quality
Correlation CheckPearson r <0.5 vs existing paper/live strategiesPortfolio diversification β€” no duplicate edges
Paper Trading14 days, 100+ trades, Sharpe ≥0.8, PF ≥1.2Proves edge in live conditions
Live Small14 days real money, 1-2% allocationProves execution quality

Recent Candidates (last 20)

ID Description Stage Sharpe Generated
18ca2a64a384cf78vwap_reversion_short β†’ time_exit [atr_regime_high + adx_rangGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
80404611fb555ba6rsi_overbought β†’ rsi_neutralise [adx_trending + atr_regime_hGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
cf090d81a14ee41drsi_overbought β†’ trailing_atr [volume_confirm + below_ema_shGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
06558921366269a2rsi_overbought β†’ ema_cross_exit [volume_confirm + atr_regimeGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
006b14702b125403vwap_reversion_short β†’ middle_band [atr_regime_high + adx_raGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
cd3a6e2092008682rsi_overbought β†’ time_exit [atr_regime_high] | ETHUSDT 1hGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
e8d679ce365e3162donchian_breakout_down β†’ fixed_rr [adx_trending] | SOLUSDT 1GENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
9bb115888b73d4bebb_upper_touch β†’ rsi_neutralise [adx_trending + atr_regime_hGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
6289c83ca0ad36c0macd_cross_down β†’ fixed_rr [atr_regime_high + adx_ranging] |GENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
47db285878fbbd71vwap_reversion_short β†’ trailing_atr [volume_confirm + atr_reGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
7848a5f93f7712f0macd_cross_down β†’ ema_cross_exit [adx_trending] | SOLUSDT 1hGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
201c8c0d254f3614rsi_overbought β†’ rsi_neutralise [atr_regime_high + adx_rangiGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
872c21b571645aafvwap_reversion_long β†’ middle_band [adx_ranging + above_ema_lGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
1f05f4c4b5f3d54fmacd_cross_up β†’ ema_cross_exit [adx_trending] | ETHUSDT 4hFAST_FILTER_FAILED-23055783804360384.002026-04-17T15:50
48d188993c18a1b5vwap_reversion_short β†’ fixed_rr [atr_regime_high + adx_rangiGENERATEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
4190c0b2a8c64108vwap_reversion_long β†’ fixed_rr [above_ema_long_filter + atr_FAST_FILTER_FAILED7.752026-04-17T15:50
59efe3e3f451d7a1macd_cross_up β†’ rsi_neutralise [atr_regime_low + atr_regime_FAST_FILTER_FAILEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
60418e053d355bf4vwap_reversion_long β†’ ema_cross_exit [adx_ranging + above_emFAST_FILTER_FAILEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50
d21df020b6dd6df2stoch_rsi_oversold β†’ middle_band [adx_ranging + atr_regime_hFAST_FILTER_FAILED-1.602026-04-17T15:50
fb1b36346b881e41rsi_oversold β†’ fixed_rr [volume_confirm + above_ema_long_filFAST_FILTER_FAILEDβ€”2026-04-17T15:50